Football Result
Verification of the Result Prediction
Power Comparison in the League
Game Stats
Team Formations
Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
H2H Record before the game
England
Draws
Spain
The UEFA Women's European Championship final between England and Spain at St. Jakob-Park ended in a 1-1 draw after extra time, with England ultimately winning 3-1 on penalties. Mariona Caldentey put Spain ahead in the 25th minute, while Alessia Russo equalized for England in the 57th minute.
Spain dominated possession with 64.9% compared to England's 35.1%. Spain also had more shots, 22 in total, with 5 on target, while England had 8 shots total, with 5 on target. England committed more fouls, 16, receiving 3 yellow cards, while Spain committed 10 fouls and received no yellow cards. Both goalkeepers made 4 saves each.
The AI prediction favored an England win before the game. The AI model did not expect a balanced game, which the statistics confirm. England's predicted win probability was 46.8%, while Spain's was 26.7%, and the draw probability was 26.5%. The result was a draw, although England won on penalties.
England's recent form has been strong, with wins against Italy, Wales and Netherlands in the current tournament, although they lost to France and drew with Sweden. Spain had won all previous matches in the tournament, including against Germany, Switzerland, Italy, Belgium and Portugal.
Looking at previous head-to-head games, the teams were evenly matched. Spain had won the most recent encounter, a UEFA Women's Nations League match. England had won the previous UEFA Women's European Championship match between them. This final mirrored the close nature of their past encounters.
Considering the current form and the high stakes of the final, the match was tense and tactical. Spain's higher team rate (0.901 vs England's 0.746) reflected their dominance in possession and shot count, but England's resilience and clinical finishing in the penalty shootout secured the victory. England's ability to defend deep and capitalize on their limited chances proved crucial. The penalty shootout win will boost England's morale, while Spain will need to regroup after this narrow defeat. England winning this final on penalties may be related to the previous game in which England beat Brazil on penalties.
On July 27, 2025, England and Spain will clash at St. Jakob-Park in Basel for a UEFA Women's European Championship showdown. An AI predicts an England victory, despite Spain having a higher team rate (0.901) compared to England's (0.746). The AI gives England a 46.8% chance of winning, while Spain's chances are at 26.7%, with a 26.5% chance of a draw. England's recent form has been strong, with impressive wins against Italy, Wales, and the Netherlands, even though they lost to France.
Spain, however, have dominated their recent matches, securing victories against Germany, Switzerland, Italy, Belgium and Portugal. Key to England's success will be their captain, Leah Williamson, whose defensive prowess is unmatched, and the prolific Beth Mead, known for her clinical finishing.
The last head-to-head games have been tight, with Spain winning their last match in UEFA Women's Nations League with 2-1. Although, England won the game before, with 1-0. This final promises to be a thrilling encounter. Will the AI's prediction hold true? Only time will tell if England can overcome the odds and secure the championship.