Football Result

Verification of the Result Prediction

Power Comparison in the League

Team Formations

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance

Recent Matches before the game

H2H Record before the game

In a captivating UEFA Women's European Championship semi-final clash at the Stade de Genève, England edged out Italy 2-1 after extra time. The match, played on July 22, 2025, saw England dominate possession with 58.1%, unleashing a barrage of 24 shots compared to Italy's 11. However, Italy proved clinical, converting one of their five shots on target in the 33rd minute through Barbara Bonansea, while England struggled to find the net initially.
Despite England's attacking pressure with a 4-3-3 formation, Italy's resilient 5-3-2 setup frustrated them for much of the game. England’s persistence finally paid off in the dying moments of regulation time, as Michelle Agyemang scored in the 96th minute to force extra time. Chloe Kelly then secured the victory for England with a goal in the 119th minute.
The AI pre-game prediction favored England with a 63.3% win probability, accurately forecasting the outcome. The model correctly assessed that the game would not be balanced given the team rates (England: 0.715, Italy: 0.536) and the probability of the outcomes. While England's dominance in shots and possession was evident, their high foul count (22) and the three yellow cards for Italy indicate a physical and fiercely contested match.
England's recent form has been strong, highlighted by high-scoring victories against Wales (6-1) and Netherlands (4-0) in the same tournament, and also against Jamaica (7-0) in a friendly game. A draw against Sweden (2-2) and a loss against France (2-1) show some vulnerabilities, but overall, they appear to be a formidable attacking force. Italy's form has been more inconsistent, with a mix of wins against Norway (2-1) and Belgium (1-0), a loss to Spain (1-3), and a draw against Portugal (1-1) in the current tournament. Their previous head-to-head encounters also favour England, who won two games and drew one game since 2017.
England's ability to grind out a win despite facing a stubborn Italian defence demonstrates their mental fortitude and tactical flexibility. This win follows a trend of England being a very hard team to beat, while Italy showed some resilience to reach the semi-finals, even if it was not enough against a superior England.