Football Result
Verification of the Result Prediction
Power Comparison in the League
Game Stats
Team Formations
Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
H2H Record before the game
France
Draws
Germany
The UEFA Women's European Championship quarterfinal match between France and Germany, held on July 19, 2025, at St. Jakob-Park in Basel, Switzerland, concluded in a 1-1 draw after extra time. Germany ultimately prevailed 6-5 on penalties, advancing to the next stage of the competition. Grace Geyoro scored for France in the 15th minute with a penalty, while Sjoeke Nüsken equalized for Germany in the 25th minute. Kathrin Hendrich received a red card for Germany in the 13th minute, leaving her team to play most of the match with 10 players. Despite the numerical disadvantage, Germany managed to hold France at bay.
France dominated possession with 74.4%, reflecting their intent to control the game. They also registered 18 total shots, with 9 on target, forcing the German goalkeeper into several saves. Germany, on the other hand, had only 7 shots, with 2 hitting the target, highlighting France's defensive dominance and Germany's counter-attacking strategy. Both teams committed a high number of fouls, with Germany committing 26 and France 24, indicating a physical and intense encounter. Germany accumulated 3 yellow cards to France's 2.
The AI had predicted a France win before the game, with a 47.5% win probability compared to Germany's 27.2% and a 25.2% chance of a draw. The AI's prediction missed the mark, possibly due to underestimating Germany's resilience and tactical adjustments after the red card. The AI didn't expect a balanced game before the match.
France had been in excellent form leading up to this match, winning their previous five games, including three in the UEFA Women's European Championship. In their last match they beat Netherlands 5-2. Germany's form was more mixed, with a recent 4-1 loss to Sweden in the UEFA Women's European Championship preceded by a string of victories. This game marks their first victory after the match against Sweden.
Looking at the previous head-to-head games, Germany held a slight edge, winning three of the last five encounters. However, France had won the most recent friendly match played in 2021. Considering the circumstances of this game, with Germany playing with 10 players for the majority of the match, their ability to force penalties and ultimately win reflects their strong mental fortitude.
France's inability to capitalize on their numerical advantage and high possession could be a concern for their upcoming matches. Germany's ability to adapt and defend with ten players will give them confidence, but they will need to address their disciplinary issues and improve their attacking efficiency in future games.