Football Result

Nuno Mendes 26'
Cristiano Ronaldo 61'
Martín Zubimendi 21'
Mikel Oyarzabal 45'


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
40.6%
25.8%
33.6%
We were not sure.
Power Comparison in the League
[legacy approach]
0.729
0.79
Remark: Portugal won 5-3 on penalties
Game Stats
Goals
2
2
Shots on Target
2
6
Shots
7
16
Possession
38.6%
61.4%
Fouls
14
19
Yellow Cards
3
4
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
3
4
Offsides
4
3
Saves
4
0
Team Formations
4-3-3
4-3-3


Location
Allianz Arena, Munchen, Germany
Attendance
65,852
Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
Recent Matches before the game
Portugal
W W L D W
Spain
W D D W W
2025-06-09 | Game Summary

The UEFA Nations League final between Portugal and Spain at the Allianz Arena in Munich ended in a 2-2 draw after extra time, with Portugal ultimately winning 5-3 on penalties. Spain dominated possession with 61.4% compared to Portugal's 38.6%, also registering more shots, 16 to Portugal's 7, and shots on target, 6 to Portugal's 2. The match was intense, with 14 fouls committed by Portugal and 19 by Spain. Portugal received 3 yellow cards, while Spain received 4.
Martín Zubimendi opened the scoring for Spain in the 21st minute, while Nuno Mendes equalized for Portugal in the 26th minute. Before halftime, Mikel Oyarzabal restored Spain's lead in the 45th minute. Cristiano Ronaldo scored in the 61st minute to level the score for Portugal, taking the game into extra time and eventually penalties.
The AI had predicted a Portugal win, but based on a relatively balanced game expectation. The game statistics suggest Spain had the upper hand in open play, although Portugal showed resilience in converting their chances and ultimately winning the penalty shootout. The AI's prediction was partially correct, identifying Portugal as the likely winner, although it underestimated Spain's strong performance during the match.
Portugal's recent form has been strong, with high-scoring victories in the UEFA Nations League. Their previous game saw them beat Germany 2-1. They have shown an ability to score goals, as evidenced by their 5-2 win over Denmark. Spain also demonstrated strong form, winning their previous match against France 5-4, indicating their attacking prowess. Their recent games have been characterized by high-scoring draws, suggesting some defensive vulnerabilities.
Historically, matches between Portugal and Spain have often been closely contested. Their previous encounters include draws and narrow victories, with several games ending with 1 goal difference. In the last head-to-head match in the UEFA Nations League 2022, Spain won 1-0. The teams’ similar formations (4-3-3) could contribute to the balanced nature of the match.
Considering the current form and previous encounters, both teams appeared evenly matched leading into the final. Portugal's ability to convert chances and Spain's attacking power made this a thrilling final, decided ultimately by penalties.

2025-06-07 | Pre-game insights

Excitement is building for the UEFA Nations League clash between Portugal and Spain on June 8th, 2025, at the Allianz Arena in Munich. AI algorithms have analyzed the teams' forms and predict a victory for Portugal, despite Spain having a slightly higher team rate. The prediction gives Portugal a 40.6% chance of winning, compared to Spain's 33.6%, with a 25.8% chance of a draw.
Portugal enters the match after a mixed bag of results, including recent wins against Germany and Denmark, but also a loss against Denmark and a draw against Croatia. The team will be counting on young sensation Joao Felix to lead the attack. The midfield maestro, Bruno Fernandes, will be key in controlling the tempo of the game.
Spain, on the other hand, has been relatively consistent, securing a win against France and draws against the Netherlands in their recent matches. Their veteran captain, Sergio Busquets, will aim to dominate the midfield battle. The young star, Pedri, is also expected to play a pivotal role in Spain's attacking plays. Despite Spain's strong team, the AI gives Portugal the edge, suggesting a tight and tactical encounter.