Football Result

Verification of the Result Prediction

Power Comparison in the League
[legacy approach]

Team Formations

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance

Recent Matches before the game

H2H Record before the game

In the UEFA Nations League 3rd-Place Match on June 8, 2025, France defeated Germany 2-0 at the MHPArena in Stuttgart. France, playing a 4-2-3-1 formation, secured the victory with goals from Kylian Mbappé in the 45th minute and Michael Olise in the 84th minute. Germany, lining up in a 4-1-3-2, were unable to convert their chances despite having more possession (56%) and a higher number of total shots (20) compared to France's 16. However, France was more clinical, registering 9 shots on target compared to Germany's 6.
The game saw Germany commit more fouls (11) and receive more yellow cards (3) compared to France (7 fouls, 2 yellow cards). Both goalkeepers were kept busy, with the German keeper making 7 saves and the French keeper making 6. This result contradicts the AI-powered pre-game prediction, which favored a Germany win with a 49.5% probability. The AI model did not expect a balanced game, and the final scoreline reflects this, albeit in favor of the underdog, France.
Germany's recent form has been inconsistent, with a loss to Portugal, a draw against Italy, and a win against Italy in their previous UEFA Nations League matches, alongside with one heavy win against Bosnia and Herzegovina and a draw against Hungary, showing a struggle to maintain a winning streak. France, similarly, has experienced fluctuations, losing to Spain and Croatia, winning against Croatia and Italy, and drawing with Israel, indicating a need for greater consistency. Considering these recent performances, both teams will need to address their vulnerabilities to improve their chances in upcoming matches.
Historically, head-to-head matches between Germany and France have been closely contested. While Germany had won the two most recent encounters before this match, France had the edge in the matches before that. This game breaks that recent trend, adding another chapter to their rivalry. Germany's inability to convert their possession and shots into goals, coupled with France's clinical finishing, proved to be the deciding factor in this UEFA Nations League encounter.

On June 8, 2025, the MHPArena in Stuttgart will host a crucial UEFA Nations League match between Germany and France. According to advanced AI algorithms, Germany is predicted to win, despite France having a slightly stronger team rate (0.727 vs 0.642). The AI gives Germany a 49.5% chance of victory, compared to France's 23.8%, with a 26.7% chance of a draw. Germany's recent form has been mixed, with a loss to Portugal (1-2), a draw against Italy (3-3), a victory over Italy (2-1), a draw against Hungary (1-1), and a dominant win against Bosnia and Herzegovina (7-0).
France, on the other hand, suffered a narrow defeat to Spain (5-4), secured a win against Croatia (2-0), lost to Croatia (2-0), defeated Italy (3-1), and drew against Israel (0-0). The last head-to-head encounters have been fairly balanced. Germany won the two friendly games (2-0 and 2-1), France won the European Championship game (1-0), France won one Nations League game (2-1) and there was one draw (0-0).
Germany will be relying on the likes of Jamal Musiala, the dynamic midfielder known for his dribbling and vision, and Kai Havertz, hoping for a more impactful performance after a relatively quiet season. France will depend on Kylian Mbappe, the lightning-fast forward, and Antoine Griezmann, the experienced playmaker known for his tactical awareness. While France are considered the favourites by many, the AI leans towards a German triumph on home soil. The match promises to be a tactical battle.