Football Result

Verification of the Result Prediction

Power Comparison in the League

Team Formations

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance

Recent Matches before the game

H2H Record before the game

In the 2024-25 Australian A-League Men Grand Final, Melbourne City FC secured a narrow 1-0 victory over Melbourne Victory at AAMI Park. Yonatan Cohen's early goal in the 10th minute proved decisive, ultimately crowning Melbourne City FC as champions. While Melbourne Victory dominated possession with 52.9%, they struggled to convert their 14 shots into goals, managing only three on target, compared to Melbourne City's four shots on target from eight total shots. The match was physical, with 19 fouls committed by Melbourne City FC, resulting in four yellow cards, while Melbourne Victory committed 15 fouls and received three yellow cards. Despite the even formations of 4-2-3-1 deployed by both sides, Melbourne City's defensive solidity and early goal were sufficient to withstand the Victory's attacking pressure.
The AI-powered pre-game prediction correctly forecasted a Melbourne City FC victory, aligning with their slightly higher team rate (0.533 vs 0.513) and a predicted win probability of 48.5%. Despite the prediction of a balanced game, the statistics reveal an advantage for Melbourne City in converting chances. Melbourne City's recent form showed inconsistency with a mix of wins and draws in their previous five matches, while Melbourne Victory had a similar pattern of wins, losses, and draws. Looking at previous head-to-head encounters, recent derbies have been closely contested with many draws, making this win a significant achievement for Melbourne City FC. The win breaks a recent pattern of draws in head-to-head matches.