Football Result

Verification of the Result Prediction

Power Comparison in the League

Team Formations

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance

Recent Matches before the game

H2H Record before the game

In a surprising turn of events, Hatayspor defeated Fenerbahce 4-2 in their Turkish Super Lig match at Mersin Stadyumu on May 26, 2025. The AI-powered pre-game prediction favored Fenerbahce with a 61.4% win probability, but Hatayspor defied the odds. The match saw an own goal by Osman Cetin in the 44th minute, contributing to Hatayspor's tally. Bilal Boutobba (53'), Görkem Saglam with a penalty (63'), and Jonathan Okoronkwo (66') added to Hatayspor's goal count. For Fenerbahce, Youssef En-Nesyri scored in the 27th minute, and Irfan Can Kahveci found the net in added time (90+4').
A critical moment came in the 38th minute when Mert Müldür of Fenerbahce received a red card, significantly impacting their game plan. Despite having less possession (47.3%) compared to Hatayspor (52.7%), Fenerbahce managed more shots overall (20) compared to Hatayspor's 15, although both teams had 7 shots on target. Hatayspor's tactical formation of 5-3-2 seemed to effectively counter Fenerbahce's 3-1-4-2.
Hatayspor's recent form has been mixed, with a notable 5-0 victory against Adana Demirspor sandwiched between losses to Istanbul Basaksehir and Besiktas. This win against Fenerbahce could be a turning point. Fenerbahce, despite their recent wins against Eyupspor and Istanbul Basaksehir, have shown some vulnerability, particularly in their loss to Besiktas.
Looking ahead, Hatayspor will face Caykur Rizespor, a team with a slightly better recent form, having won three of their last five matches. Hatayspor will need to capitalize on their momentum from this victory. Fenerbahce will host Konyaspor, and they will be looking to bounce back from this unexpected defeat. Given Konyaspor's recent struggles and Fenerbahce's strong home record, they will be the favorites.
Historically, Fenerbahce has dominated Hatayspor in head-to-head matches, but Hatayspor's recent performance suggests a potential shift in their competitive dynamic. Fenerbahce had won the reverse fixture earlier in the season, but the red card and Hatayspor's resilience were key factors in this match's outcome. This victory is a significant morale booster for Hatayspor and a wake-up call for Fenerbahce.

On May 26, 2025, the Mersin Stadyumu will host a Turkish Super Lig clash between Hatayspor and Fenerbahce. AI algorithms are heavily favoring a Fenerbahce victory, assigning them a 61.4% win probability compared to Hatayspor's meager 18.1%. The draw probability stands at 20.6%. This prediction is supported by Fenerbahce's superior team rating of 0.781 against Hatayspor's 0.337.
Fenerbahce's recent form has been strong, with key players like young striker, Kenan Yildiz, who has been instrumental in their attacking plays and veteran midfielder, Edin Dzeko, known for his strategic passes and game control, expected to lead the charge. Hatayspor, despite a surprising 5-0 win against Adana Demirspor, has struggled for consistency, losing three of their last five matches.
Historically, Fenerbahce has dominated this fixture, winning all of the last five head-to-head games. The AI's prediction aligns with this historical dominance and Fenerbahce's current form. While Hatayspor will undoubtedly fight hard on their home turf, overcoming Fenerbahce's strong squad and the AI's prediction will be a tall order. Football, however, is full of surprises, and Hatayspor will be looking to defy the odds.