Football Result

Fahem Benaissa-Yahia 45'
Jeremy Livolant 79'
Rodrigo Zalazar 20'


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
29%
27.3%
43.7%
We were not sure and the score was close.
Power Comparison in the League
0.487
0.724
Game Stats
Goals
2
1
Shots on Target
3
6
Shots
5
21
Possession
41%
59%
Fouls
19
13
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
2
7
Offsides
2
3
Saves
5
1
Team Formations
3-4-3
4-2-3-1


Location
Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior, Portugal
Attendance
1,342
2025-05-11 | Game Summary

In a surprising turn of events in the Portuguese Primeira Liga, Casa Pia defeated Braga 2-1 at the Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior. Braga, the pre-game favorite according to AI predictions, dominated possession with 59% but failed to convert their numerous chances. The AI model had predicted a Braga win with a 43.7% probability, while giving Casa Pia only a 29.0% chance of victory. This result goes against the AI's expectations, highlighting the unpredictable nature of football.
Rodrigo Zalazar put Braga ahead in the 20th minute, but Casa Pia fought back, equalizing just before halftime through Fahem Benaissa-Yahia. Jeremy Livolant then scored the winning goal in the 79th minute, securing a valuable three points for the home side. Despite Braga's 21 total shots compared to Casa Pia's 5, only 6 were on target, whereas Casa Pia managed 3 shots on target, converting two. Casa Pia's goalkeeper was kept busy, making 5 saves to deny Braga's attack. The home side also committed more fouls (19) than Braga (13), indicating a more physical approach.
Casa Pia's victory can be attributed to their clinical finishing and resilient defending, effectively frustrating Braga's attacking efforts. This win breaks a negative trend for Casa Pia, who have struggled for consistency recently.
Analyzing previous games reveals that Casa Pia has been struggling to find the net, with numerous low-scoring draws and losses. Braga, while generally stronger, has also shown signs of inconsistency with recent draws against FC Famalicao and Santa Clara.
Looking ahead, Casa Pia faces FC Famalicao, a team with a similar form. Famalicao's recent results include a mix of wins, losses, and a draw against Braga, indicating a competitive match ahead. Braga, on the other hand, faces a tough challenge against Benfica. Considering Benfica's strong form, Braga will need to improve their conversion rate and defensive stability to secure a positive result. Braga's recent head-to-head record against Benfica doesn't favor them. The upcoming match will be crucial for Braga to bounce back from this unexpected defeat and maintain their position in the league. Casa Pia will want to carry the momentum of this game into their next match. In their previous game, Casa Pia played a goalless draw with Arouca, showing a struggle to score goals, but a strong defense. This win is very important for the team's morale.

2025-05-09 | Pre-game insights

On May 10th, 2025, Casa Pia will face Braga at the Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior in a Portuguese Primeira Liga clash. An AI model has crunched the numbers, analyzing team form and historical data, and predicts a Braga victory. While Casa Pia fights hard, their recent form is concerning, marked by draws and losses, with disciplinary issues reflected in multiple red cards. Their team rate stands at 0.487, and the AI gives them a 29.0% chance of winning.
Braga, on the other hand, boasts a stronger team rate of 0.724, and the AI assigns them a 43.7% win probability. Braga's attacking force, spearheaded by the experienced Ricardo Horta, known for his clinical finishing and intelligent movement, will be key to unlocking Casa Pia's defense. Another player to watch is young midfielder Rodrigo Gomes, whose vision and passing range could dictate the tempo of the game. Despite recent draws, Braga's overall quality, particularly in midfield, gives them the edge. While a draw remains a possibility at 27.3%, the AI suggests Braga's firepower will ultimately prove decisive in this Primeira Liga encounter.

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
Recent Matches before the game
Casa Pia
D L D L D
Braga
D D W W D