Football Result

Theofanis Bakoulas 15' OG
Joao Mendes 31'
Arcanjo 44'


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
59.7%
22.8%
17.4%
We made the right call.
Power Comparison in the League
[legacy approach]
0.576
0.479
Game Stats
Goals
3
0
Shots on Target
6
5
Shots
25
10
Possession
58.8%
41.2%
Fouls
16
7
Yellow Cards
1
2
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
9
1
Offsides
3
2
Saves
5
4
Team Formations
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1


Location
Estadio D. Afonso Henriques, Guimaraes, Portugal
Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
Recent Matches before the game
Guimaraes
L W W D W
Rio Ave
L D W L L
2025-04-28 | Game Summary

In a dominant performance at the Estádio D. Afonso Henriques on April 27, 2025, Guimaraes defeated Rio Ave 3-0 in their Portuguese Primeira Liga clash. The match saw Guimaraes control the game with 58.8% possession and a significant advantage in shots, registering 25 total shots compared to Rio Ave's 10. Guimaraes' superior attacking prowess was evident in their 6 shots on target, while Rio Ave managed 5.
Guimaraes opened the scoring with an own goal by Theofanis Bakoulas in the 15th minute. Joao Mendes extended the lead in the 31st minute, and Arcanjo sealed the victory with a goal in the 44th minute. Despite committing more fouls (16 to 7), Guimaraes only received one yellow card, while Rio Ave received two.
The AI-powered pre-game prediction correctly forecasted a win for Guimaraes, with a 59.7% win probability, aligning with the actual result. The model did not expect a balanced game, and Guimaraes' performance validated this assessment.
Guimaraes' recent form has been inconsistent, with two wins, a draw, and two losses in their last five league matches, including a heavy defeat against Benfica. However, their home form has been relatively strong, and they will look to continue this against SC Farense in their next game on May 11th. Historically, matches between Guimaraes and SC Farense have been closely contested.
Rio Ave, on the other hand, has struggled recently, with three losses, one win, and one draw in their last five games across all competitions, including a defeat in Taca de Portugal against Sporting CP. They face Estrela in their next league match on May 4th. Rio Ave's recent form is concerning, and they will need to improve their attacking output. Considering previous head-to-head games with Estrela, upcoming match promises to be a tight contest.
Looking at the historical head-to-head record between Guimaraes and Rio Ave, matches have often been competitive, with a mix of results. However, Guimaraes' convincing win in this match demonstrates their capability to dominate weaker opposition, especially at home. Guimaraes previous performance showed that the team can be vulnarable, particularly in a match against a stronger team like Benfica.

2025-04-26 | Pre-game insights

On April 27, 2025, Guimarães will face Rio Ave at the Estádio D. Afonso Henriques in a Portuguese Primeira Liga match. AI predicts a victory for the home side, with a 59.7% win probability compared to Rio Ave's 17.4%. Guimarães, led by their star midfielder, likely intends to capitalize on their home advantage. However, recent form shows Guimarães has been inconsistent, mixing wins with losses, while Rio Ave is aiming to improve their away record. Keep an eye on Rio Ave's forward as he could pose a threat. Despite Rio Ave's attacking potential, the AI favors Guimarães' overall strength and tactical setup for a home win. The draw probability stands at 22.8%, suggesting a potentially tight contest.