Football Result

Verification of the Result Prediction

Power Comparison in the League

Team Formations

In a surprising turn of events in the Portuguese Primeira Liga, Estrela defeated FC Porto 2-0 at Estadio José Gomes. The AI-powered pre-game prediction favored an FC Porto win, making Estrela's victory a significant upset. Estrela, playing in a 4-3-3 formation, defied expectations with goals from Kikas in the 38th minute and Alan Ruíz via a penalty in the 62nd minute. Despite FC Porto dominating possession with 67.7%, they struggled to convert their chances, managing only three shots on target compared to Estrela's five.
Estrela's defense held firm, frustrating FC Porto's attacking efforts, despite the away side having a 3-4-2-1 formation. The home side committed more fouls (17) and received more yellow cards (5) than FC Porto (14 fouls, 3 yellow cards), indicating a combative approach. FC Porto's inability to score highlights a potential weakness in their attack despite their strong team rate. Estrela's victory snaps a negative trend, as they had lost four of their last five matches. The AI model significantly underestimated Estrela, rating them at 0.325 compared to FC Porto's 0.815.
FC Porto's recent form has been inconsistent, with a mix of wins and a heavy defeat against Benfica, suggesting some vulnerability. This result will put pressure on FC Porto heading into their next game against Moreirense. Estrela, buoyed by this unexpected win, will face Rio Ave in their next match.
Looking at the teams' recent performances, Estrela's win is a stark contrast to their previous games, where they struggled to score and often conceded goals. FC Porto had generally been winning their matches, but this loss exposes potential issues in breaking down determined defenses. Historically, FC Porto has dominated Estrela in head-to-head matches, making this victory even more remarkable for Estrela. Their upcoming match against Rio Ave will be a test of whether they can maintain this newfound form, especially considering Rio Ave's recent mixed results, including losses in the Taca de Portugal. FC Porto will need to regroup and address their attacking deficiencies to ensure a victory against Moreirense, a team they have generally had the upper hand against in recent encounters.

Football fans are eagerly awaiting the Portuguese Primeira Liga match on April 26, 2025, between Estrela and FC Porto at the Estádio José Gomes in Amadora. An AI model has predicted a win for FC Porto, assigning them a 48.7% win probability compared to Estrela's 25.0%. The model gives the draw option a 26.3% chance. Analysing team strength, the AI rates FC Porto significantly higher with 0.815, while Estrela lags behind at 0.325.
Looking at Estrela's recent form, they've struggled, losing four of their last five matches, including a heavy defeat against Sporting CP, where they also picked up two red cards. FC Porto, on the other hand, has won four of their last five, though they suffered a heavy defeat against Benfica. Key players for FC Porto, like the experienced striker Mehdi Taremi and creative midfielder Otávio, will be crucial in converting the AI's prediction into reality. The last head-to-head games also point to FC Porto's domination.
Will Estrela defy the odds on their home turf? Or will FC Porto's superior quality and recent form prevail, confirming the AI's prediction? The match promises a captivating clash between two sides with contrasting form and ambitions.

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance

Recent Matches before the game

H2H Record before the game