Football Result

Vitinha 61'
Rafael Leão 76'
Morten Frendrup 77' OG


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
32%
26.9%
41.1%
That went as expected.
Power Comparison in the League
0.495
0.666
Game Stats
Goals
1
2
Shots on Target
4
5
Shots
11
10
Possession
39.8%
60.2%
Fouls
14
12
Yellow Cards
1
5
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
8
7
Offsides
1
1
Saves
4
4
Team Formations
4-2-3-1
3-4-2-1


Location
Luigi Ferraris, Genova, Italy
Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
Recent Matches before the game
Genoa
L L D W L
AC Milan
W W L W D
2025-05-06 | Game Summary

In a tightly contested Italian Serie A match at the Luigi Ferraris, AC Milan secured a 2-1 victory over Genoa. The game saw AC Milan dominate possession with 60.2% compared to Genoa's 39.8%. Genoa, playing a 4-2-3-1 formation, managed 11 total shots with 4 on target, while AC Milan, in their 3-4-2-1 setup, had 10 shots, 5 of which were on target.
Vitinha put Genoa ahead in the 61st minute, but AC Milan responded with a goal from Rafael Leão in the 76th minute, followed quickly by an own goal from Genoa's Morten Frendrup in the 77th minute. The match was physical, with Genoa committing 14 fouls and receiving 1 yellow card, while AC Milan committed 12 fouls and received 5 yellow cards. Both goalkeepers made 4 saves each.
The AI's pre-game prediction of an AC Milan win proved accurate. The AI also anticipated that the game would be not balanced, and the stats seem to confirm it, as Milan had more ball possession. Genoa, with a team rate of 0.495, faced an AC Milan side rated at 0.666. Genoa's predicted win probability was 32.0%, compared to AC Milan's 41.1%, with a 26.9% chance of a draw.
Looking ahead, Genoa faces a tough challenge against Napoli away on May 11th. Genoa has struggled in their recent games, losing three of their last five, while Napoli have been in excellent form, winning four of their last five. Based on recent head-to-head games, Napoli has a slight edge. Genoa will need to improve their defensive solidity to stand a chance.
AC Milan will host Bologna on May 9th. AC Milan has been in good form, winning four of their last five matches. Bologna, however, has been inconsistent, with two draws, one loss, and two wins in their last five. AC Milan will be looking to capitalize on their home advantage.
Considering previous encounters between Genoa and AC Milan, recent matches have been closely contested, with AC Milan holding a slight advantage. Both teams will need to address their weaknesses and capitalize on their strengths to achieve their objectives in their upcoming matches.

2025-05-04 | Pre-game insights

On May 5th, 2025, Genoa will face AC Milan at the Luigi Ferraris in a highly anticipated Italian Serie A clash. AI is predicting an AC Milan victory, assigning them a 41.1% win probability compared to Genoa's 32.0%. A draw is considered the less probable result with 26.9%. AC Milan, led by their prolific striker, Rafael Leão, and the creative midfielder, Sandro Tonali, enter the match as slight favorites, reflected in their higher team rate of 0.666 against Genoa's 0.495. Genoa's recent form has been inconsistent, with a series of losses, and a draw, interspersed with a single win. Meanwhile, AC Milan has displayed good performance, winning most of their recent matches. The last head-to-head games were balanced. The AI prediction suggests AC Milan's slightly superior squad and recent form should give them the edge in this encounter, but Genoa playing at home is always a tough rival.