Football Result

Verification of the Result Prediction

Power Comparison in the League

Team Formations

In a tightly contested Italian Serie A match at the Gewiss Stadium on April 27, 2025, Atalanta and Lecce played to a 1-1 draw. The game saw both goals scored from penalties, with Jesper Karlsson putting Lecce ahead in the 29th minute, and Mateo Retegui equalizing for Atalanta in the 69th minute. Atalanta dominated possession with 73.8%, and had more shots, firing 21 attempts compared to Lecce's 10. However, Lecce's goalkeeper proved difficult to beat, making 6 saves to Atalanta's 2. Both teams received one yellow card apiece.
The AI-powered pre-game prediction favored Atalanta to win, with a 60.6% win probability, while the actual result was a draw. This suggests the model overestimated Atalanta's dominance, or underestimated Lecce's defensive capabilities. The AI model didn't expect a balanced game, likely influenced by Atalanta's higher team rate (0.665) compared to Lecce's (0.4).
Analyzing Atalanta's recent form, they have won two of their last five matches, but also suffered three defeats. Their upcoming match against Monza, who have struggled recently losing their last four matches and drawing one, offers a chance to bounce back. However, Atalanta must improve their consistency. The head-to-head record favors Atalanta against Monza.
Lecce, on the other hand, have been struggling even more, having lost four of their last five matches, with one draw. Their next game against Napoli, who are in better form having won three and drawn two of their last five, will be a tough challenge. Lecce needs to find a way to improve their defense, as they have conceded several goals in recent games. The head-to-head record favours Napoli against Lecce.
Looking at the previous head-to-head games between Atalanta and Lecce, Atalanta has generally had the upper hand, but Lecce have managed to steal a win at times, including one match at Gewiss Stadium. In their last five league games, Atalanta have been inconsistent, while Lecce have struggled with poor defensive performances, suggesting the draw in this game was somewhat against the odds.

On April 27, 2025, Atalanta will face Lecce at the Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo for an Italian Serie A clash. According to AI, Atalanta is heavily favored to win, boasting a 60.6% win probability compared to Lecce's 16.9%. The AI gives a 22.5% chance of a draw. Atalanta, with a team strength rate of 0.665, will look to leverage their home advantage. Their recent form has been mixed, with two wins and three losses in their last five Serie A games. Key player Gianluca Scamacca will be crucial for Atalanta's attacking prowess.
Lecce, rated at 0.4, has struggled lately, losing four of their last five matches. Their defense will need to be at its best to contain Atalanta's attacks. Historically, Atalanta has dominated recent encounters, winning most of the last head-to-head games against Lecce. The AI prediction suggests Atalanta will continue this trend, securing a victory in this upcoming match. Will Atalanta confirm the prognosis?

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance

Recent Matches before the game

H2H Record before the game