Football Result
Lucas Höler 58'
Verification of the Result Prediction
Power Comparison in the League
Game Stats
Team Formations
In a closely contested German Bundesliga match on May 10, 2025, SC Freiburg defeated Holstein Kiel 2-1 at the Holstein-Stadion. The AI had predicted a Freiburg win, and this prediction materialized. However, the model also anticipated a balanced game, which the statistics largely reflect. Holstein Kiel, playing a 3-4-1-2 formation, dominated possession with 59.9%, but SC Freiburg, in their 4-4-1-1 setup, were more clinical in front of goal. Lasse Rosenboom opened the scoring for Kiel in the 24th minute, but Johan Manzambi leveled the score just before halftime in the 45+2 minute. Lucas Höler then secured the victory for Freiburg in the 58th minute.
The game saw Kiel register 15 total shots compared to Freiburg's 9, however, Freiburg managed 4 shots on target to Kiel's 3, showcasing their efficiency. Kiel committed fewer fouls (9) than Freiburg (13), with only one yellow card shown to Holstein Kiel. Goalkeepers were tested, with Freiburg's keeper making two saves compared to Kiel's one.
Looking at recent form, Holstein Kiel's results have been mixed, with two wins, two draws, and a loss in their last five Bundesliga games. SC Freiburg, on the other hand, have been in better form, securing three wins, one draw, and one loss in their previous five league matches.
Considering their next matches, Holstein Kiel faces a tough challenge away against Borussia Dortmund, who are in excellent form, winning four of their last five matches and also progressing in the Champions League. The previous head-to-head record between Kiel and Dortmund is split, with Kiel winning their most recent league encounter earlier this year, but Dortmund dominating in DFB Pokal matches. SC Freiburg will host Eintracht Frankfurt, who are also showing inconsistent form, with two wins, two draws, and a loss in their last five games. The head-to-head record between Freiburg and Frankfurt is closely contested, suggesting another tight match is on the cards.
Looking back at the previous games, both teams had relatively high-scoring affairs recently, but SC Freiburg showed better efficacy in capitalizing on their chances in the game on May 10, 2025. The efficiency showcased by SC Freiburg made the difference in the game, aligning the final result with the AI's pre-game prediction.
On May 10, 2025, Holstein Kiel will face SC Freiburg at Holstein-Stadion in a German Bundesliga match. AI predicts an SC Freiburg victory, despite only a slight edge in win probability (37.0% vs. Kiel's 35.6%). Freiburg, spearheaded by their in-form striker, Lucas Höler, will aim to leverage their slightly stronger team rating of 0.585 compared to Kiel's 0.406. Holstein Kiel, however, is fresh off a strong win against FC Augsburg and will be relying on the creative midfield of Finn Porath. The AI's prediction considers both teams' recent form and historical head-to-head results, where Freiburg won the last direct match. Despite the prediction, a draw remains a significant possibility at 27.4%. Football fans anticipate a thrilling encounter in Kiel.
Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
H2H Record before the game
Holstein Kiel
Draws
SC Freiburg