Football Result

Max Rosenfelder 49'
Maximilian Arnold 26'


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
42.5%
27.3%
30.2%
We were not sure.
Power Comparison in the League
0.592
0.578
Game Stats
Goals
0
1
Shots on Target
1
2
Shots
8
15
Possession
42.9%
57.1%
Fouls
6
9
Yellow Cards
3
1
Red Cards
1
0
Corners
3
2
Offsides
1
0
Saves
1
1
Team Formations
3-5-2
4-4-1-1


Location
Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg, Germany
Attendance
23,145
2025-04-27 | Game Summary

In a tightly contested German Bundesliga match at the Volkswagen Arena, SC Freiburg edged out VfL Wolfsburg with a 1-0 victory. The game saw SC Freiburg dominate possession with 57.1% but only marginally edge Wolfsburg in shots, 15 to 8, and shots on target, 2 to 1, highlighting Wolfsburg's defensive efforts. The only goal of the match came in the 49th minute, scored by Max Rosenfelder for SC Freiburg. VfL Wolfsburg suffered a setback early on with a red card for Maximilian Arnold in the 26th minute, impacting their strategy for the remainder of the game. Despite being a man down, Wolfsburg managed to keep the scoreline respectable.
The AI's pre-game prediction favored a VfL Wolfsburg win, with a 42.5% probability, which proved incorrect. The AI also suggested a balanced game was not expected. The actual result aligns more closely with the away team's win probability of 30.2%, although a draw might have been a fairer reflection of the game's closeness.
VfL Wolfsburg, playing in a 3-5-2 formation, struggled to create clear-cut chances, while SC Freiburg, set up in a 4-4-1-1, capitalized on their numerical advantage. This defeat adds to Wolfsburg's recent struggles, having lost four of their last five matches prior to this game. Their next match is away against a strong Borussia Dortmund, who are in good form, having won three of their last five games across all competitions. Wolfsburg needs to address their defensive vulnerabilities, especially with Dortmund's attacking prowess, if they want to avoid another defeat. Wolfsburg has lost 4 of the last 5 games.
SC Freiburg, on the other hand, has shown resilience, winning three of their last five matches. Their upcoming game is at home against Bayer Leverkusen, who have been inconsistent recently. Freiburg will need to be defensively solid against Leverkusen, who have a strong attack. The victory against Wolfsburg will boost their confidence going into that match. SC Freiburg has won 2 of the last 5 games.
Historically, VfL Wolfsburg and SC Freiburg have had closely contested matches, but SC Freiburg had won the last match in December 2024, with a score of 3-2. Wolfsburg's recent form suggests they need to improve their attacking and defensive solidity, whilst Freiburg need to maintain their recent winning form against Bayer Leverkusen.

2025-04-25 | Pre-game insights

On April 26, 2025, VfL Wolfsburg will host SC Freiburg at the Volkswagen Arena in a German Bundesliga match. AI predicts a victory for VfL Wolfsburg, despite their recent struggles. Wolfsburg's star midfielder, Maximilian Arnold, will be crucial to their chances, dictating the tempo of the game. The AI gives Wolfsburg a 42.5% chance of winning, while Freiburg has a 30.2% chance, and a draw is predicted at 27.3%. Freiburg, however, will look to Vincenzo Grifo to provide attacking impetus. Although Wolfsburg's recent form has been poor, their slightly higher team rate of 0.592 compared to Freiburg's 0.578 gives them a slight edge in the AI's calculations.

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance