Football Result

Carlo Boukhalfa 78'
Patrik Schick 32'


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
25.9%
24.3%
49.9%
That's quite a surprise.
Power Comparison in the League
0.404
0.807
Game Stats
Goals
1
1
Shots on Target
5
4
Shots
10
6
Possession
42.4%
57.6%
Fouls
12
12
Yellow Cards
1
4
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
4
4
Offsides
1
2
Saves
3
4
Team Formations
3-4-3
3-4-2-1


Location
Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg, Germany
Attendance
29,546
2025-04-21 | Game Summary

The German Bundesliga match between St. Pauli and Bayer Leverkusen at the Millerntor-Stadion ended in a 1-1 draw. Patrik Schick scored for Leverkusen in the 32nd minute, while Carlo Boukhalfa equalized for St. Pauli in the 78th minute.
Leverkusen dominated possession with 57.6% compared to St. Pauli's 42.4%. St. Pauli had more shots, registering 10 total shots with 5 on target, while Leverkusen had 6 shots with 4 on target. Both teams committed 12 fouls each. Leverkusen accumulated 4 yellow cards, while St. Pauli received only 1. The goalkeepers were kept busy, with St. Pauli's keeper making 3 saves and Leverkusen's keeper making 4.
The AI prediction favored a Bayer Leverkusen win, with a 49.9% probability, and a draw probability of 24.3%. The actual result was a draw, showing the unpredictability of football, even when considering team rates (St. Pauli - 0.404, Bayer Leverkusen - 0.807). The AI model did not anticipate a balanced game.
St. Pauli's recent form has been mixed, with a win against Holstein Kiel, a draw against Borussia Monchengladbach, a loss to Bayern Munich, a win against TSG Hoffenheim, and a draw against VfL Wolfsburg. Their next match is away against Werder Bremen, who are in strong form, having won their last four matches in the German Bundesliga, prior to the game of April 20th. In contrast, Leverkusen's form has been less consistent with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five games. Leverkusen will host FC Augsburg in their next game.
Historically, Leverkusen has had the upper hand against St. Pauli. Recent head-to-head matches show Leverkusen winning the most recent encounter in December 2024. St. Pauli will need to improve their attacking efficiency to secure a positive result against Werder Bremen, especially considering Werder's recent strong performances. Similarly, Leverkusen will be looking to return to winning ways against FC Augsburg after a recent series of mixed results.
Considering Werder Bremen last games, they are in great shape. It could be a tough game for the St. Pauli players, considering the next rival’s strength and previous head-to-head games.

2025-04-19 | Pre-game insights

On April 20, 2025, St. Pauli will face Bayer Leverkusen at the Millerntor-Stadion in Hamburg for a German Bundesliga match. AI is predicting a victory for Bayer Leverkusen, with a 49.9% win probability compared to St. Pauli's 25.9%. The draw probability stands at 24.3%.
St. Pauli's recent form has been inconsistent, with a mix of wins, losses, and draws. Their rate is 0.404, whilst Bayer Leverkusen shows a rate of 0.807. Bayer Leverkusen, on the other hand, has been in good form in the Bundesliga, led by their star midfielder, Florian Wirtz, known for his exceptional playmaking abilities, and their potent striker, Victor Boniface, who is always a threat in front of goal.
Looking at the last head-to-head games, Bayer Leverkusen has dominated St. Pauli. The AI prediction considers these factors, along with overall team strength and recent performances. Although St. Pauli will have the home advantage, it might not be enough to overcome the attacking prowess and solid defense of Bayer Leverkusen. Football fans are keen to see if the AI's prediction will hold true.

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance