Football Result
Game Stats
Team Formations
In a surprising turn of events in the French Ligue 2, Pau defeated Metz 2-1 at the Nouste Camp on April 26, 2025. The AI-powered pre-game prediction favored Metz to win, with a 43.4% win probability, however, Pau defied the odds.
Metz dominated possession with 66.4%, but Pau proved more clinical in attack. Pau's goals came from Pathé Mboup in the 73rd minute and Tairyk Arconte via a penalty in the 83rd minute. Pape Diallo scored for Metz in the 79th minute.
Despite Metz having more shots overall (17 vs. 18), Pau managed to get 5 shots on target compared to Metz's 5. Metz also accumulated more fouls (10) and yellow cards (5) than Pau. Pau's goalkeeper made 4 saves, while Metz's counterpart made 3.
Pau played with a 4-4-2 formation, while Metz utilized a 4-2-3-1 setup. Pau's victory breaks a sequence of draws and a heavy defeat in their previous games, signaling a potential shift in form. Metz, after a series of wins and draws, suffered an unexpected setback.
Considering their recent form, Pau's next game against SC Amiens, who have had mixed results, will be a test of their consistency. Based on the last head-to-head games, it will be a difficult match for Pau. Metz will aim to bounce back in their next match against Rodez Aveyron, who are also inconsistent, the home advantage may play a crucial role.
Historically, the recent head-to-head games between Metz and Pau have been tight affairs.
The AI model, while not predicting a Pau victory, didn't anticipate a completely one-sided game ("ai_model_expected_balanced_game": "no").
Pau's performance against a team rated considerably higher than them (0.686 vs 0.421 team rate) suggests an improvement in their gameplay and fighting spirit.
Metz will need to address their discipline, as the number of fouls and yellow cards affected the game.
On April 26, 2025, Nouste Camp in Pau, France, will host a French Ligue 2 match between Pau and Metz. According to AI predictions, Metz is favored to win, with a 43.4% probability compared to Pau's 29.3%. A draw is estimated at 27.3%. Metz enters the game with a team rate of 0.686, which is considerably higher than Pau (0.421), which suggests that Metz has a stronger team. Metz's recent form has been decent, with three wins and two draws in their last five matches. Their key player, attacking midfielder Ablie Jallow, will be crucial for unlocking Pau's defense. Pau, on the other hand, has struggled for consistency, recording one win, one loss and three draws in their last five games. Their forward, Mons Bassouamina, will need to be clinical in front of goal if Pau are to upset the odds. Historically, matches between these two have been tight, with recent encounters resulting in draws and narrow victories. The AI's prediction hints at Metz's slightly superior quality potentially making the difference in this upcoming clash. Despite AI's prediction, Pau will fight on their homefield, which might give them an edge. It remains to be seen if Pau can defy the odds.
Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
H2H Record before the game
Pau
Draws
Metz