Football Result

Ludovic Ajorque 42'
Kamory Doumbia 64'


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
37.5%
25.9%
36.6%
That went as expected.
Power Comparison in the League
0.581
0.72
Game Stats
Goals
2
0
Shots on Target
4
2
Shots
12
18
Possession
38.9%
61.1%
Fouls
6
14
Yellow Cards
1
1
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
3
7
Offsides
0
1
Saves
2
2
Team Formations
4-3-3
4-4-2


Location
Stade Francis-le Ble, Brest, France
2025-05-11 | Game Summary

In a French Ligue 1 match held on May 10, 2025, Brest defeated Lille 2-0 at Stade Francis-Le Blé. Ludovic Ajorque opened the scoring for Brest in the 42nd minute, followed by Kamory Doumbia in the 64th minute, sealing the victory for the home side. Brest's formation was 4-3-3, while Lille opted for a 4-4-2 setup.
Despite Lille dominating possession with 61.1% compared to Brest's 38.9%, they failed to convert their opportunities into goals. Lille had 18 total shots, but only 2 were on target, highlighting their inefficiency in front of goal. Brest, on the other hand, were more clinical, scoring twice from 4 shots on target out of a total of 12 shots. Both teams received one yellow card each.
The AI prediction before the game favored a Brest win, and the actual result aligned with this prediction. The AI also considered the game to be a balanced one. Before the match, Brest had a 37.5% chance of winning, while Lille had a 36.6% chance, with a draw probability of 25.9%. Brest's victory shows an upset, considering Lille's higher team rate (0.72) compared to Brest (0.581).
Analyzing Brest's recent form, they have won 2 of their last 5 matches, indicating some inconsistency. Their upcoming match is against Nice, who have won 4 of their last 5 games, making it a challenging encounter for Brest, especially away from home. Head-to-head records show that Brest lost last match against Nice 0-1 (2024-11-02). For Lille, their next game is at home against Stade de Reims. Lille has 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five matches. Lille will be looking to bounce back from this defeat. Looking at previous head-to-head games, Lille have a slightly better record than Reims.
Considering the previous games, Brest's win against Lille is a significant improvement from their previous encounter where they lost 3-1. Lille will need to address their finishing issues and defensive vulnerabilities to maintain their position in the league.

2025-05-09 | Pre-game insights

On May 10, 2025, Stade Francis-le Blé in Brest will host a captivating French Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Lille. Despite Lille's slightly higher team rate of 0.72 compared to Brest's 0.581, an AI has surprisingly predicted a Brest victory. The win probability is close, with Brest at 37.5% and Lille at 36.6%, suggesting a tight contest, and the draw probability is 25.9%.
Brest's recent form has been mixed, with two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five games, including a recent 1-0 victory over Montpellier. Lille's recent form is better, with three wins, one loss and one draw in their last five games, although they drew with Marseille in their most recent match. Looking back at their head-to-head record, Lille has dominated in recent years.
Lille's hopes will rest on the shoulders of their midfield maestro, Edon Zhegrova, whose creativity could unlock the Brest defense. However, Brest will be looking to their star striker, Jérémy Le Douaron, to continue his goal-scoring form and defy the odds.
The AI prediction of a Brest win certainly goes against the grain, considering Lille's slightly stronger squad and recent dominance in head-to-head matches. Will the AI be proven correct, or will Lille's quality shine through in this Ligue 1 encounter? Only time will tell if Brest can secure an unexpected victory on home soil.

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
Recent Matches before the game
Brest
W L L D W
Lille
D W W W L