Football Result

Yann Gboho 47'
Neil El Aynaoui 61'


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
42.4%
26.7%
30.9%
We were not sure.
Power Comparison in the League
0.536
0.555
Game Stats
Goals
1
1
Shots on Target
6
2
Shots
9
12
Possession
39.7%
60.3%
Fouls
17
12
Yellow Cards
2
5
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
2
1
Offsides
0
2
Saves
1
5
Team Formations
3-4-2-1
5-4-1


Location
Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse, France
2025-05-11 | Game Summary

In a closely contested French Ligue 1 match at the Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse and Lens battled to a 1-1 draw. The AI had predicted a Toulouse win before the game, with a 42.4% win probability, making the actual result a deviation from the model's expectations. Although, the draw probability was predicted to be 26.7%, so it was on the right track. Toulouse, playing in a 3-4-2-1 formation, opened the scoring in the 47th minute through Yann Gboho. Lens, organized in a 5-4-1, responded in the 61st minute with a goal from Neil El Aynaoui.
Statistically, Lens dominated possession with 60.3%, but Toulouse were more clinical with their chances, registering 6 shots on target compared to Lens's 2. However, Lens had more total shots, with 12 against Toulouse's 9. The match was physical, with Toulouse committing 17 fouls and receiving 2 yellow cards, while Lens committed 12 fouls and accumulated 5 yellow cards.
Toulouse's recent form has been inconsistent, with two losses, one draw and two win in their last five matches, a similar pattern to their head-to-head results against Lens. Lens's form is also patchy, with two wins and two losses in their last five games, though their away form seems relatively better. Looking at their upcoming match, Toulouse will face Saint-Etienne away, a team that has struggled recently, losing 3 of their last 5 matches and next match will be especially important for Saint-Etienne. The AI gives Saint-Etienne a slightly lower team rate (0.495) compared to Toulouse (0.538).
Lens will host AS Monaco in their next game. Monaco have shown strong form lately, winning three, losing one, and drawing one of their last five matches. The AI rates Monaco as a stronger team (0.693) compared to Lens (0.556). Considering the draw in this match, both teams need to improve their consistency to secure better results in the upcoming fixtures of French Ligue 1. The upcoming matches are crucial, particularly given the teams' recent inconsistent performances and tight league standings.

2025-05-09 | Pre-game insights

On May 10, 2025, Toulouse will face Lens at the Stadium de Toulouse in a highly anticipated French Ligue 1 clash. AI predicts a Toulouse victory, despite Lens having a slightly higher team rate (0.555 vs 0.536). The model gives Toulouse a 42.4% chance of winning, compared to Lens' 30.9%, with a 26.7% chance of a draw. Toulouse's last games have been inconsistent, but their recent 2-1 win against Stade Rennais could boost their confidence. Keep an eye on Toulouse's young midfielder, touted as a rising star in Ligue 1. However, Lens's forward will also be seeking to prove the AI wrong with a strong performance. Despite the AI prediction, the match promises to be a tightly contested affair.

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
Recent Matches before the game
Toulouse
W D L L L
Lens
W L W L W