Football Result

Matias Fernandez-Pardo 74'
Amine Gouiri 57'


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
49.5%
24.7%
25.8%
That's quite a surprise.
Power Comparison in the League
[legacy approach]
0.718
0.669
Game Stats
Goals
1
1
Shots on Target
1
6
Shots
5
13
Possession
40%
60%
Fouls
9
8
Yellow Cards
2
2
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
2
5
Offsides
5
0
Saves
5
0
Team Formations
4-4-2
4-2-3-1


Location
Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille, France
Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
Recent Matches before the game
Lille
W W W L W
Marseille
W W L W L
2025-05-05 | Game Summary

The French Ligue 1 match between Lille and Marseille on May 4, 2025, at the Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy ended in a 1-1 draw. The AI prediction favored a Lille win, which proved incorrect as the game resulted in a tie. The AI model did not expect a balanced game, but the final score suggests otherwise. Marseille dominated possession with 60% compared to Lille's 40%, but Lille managed to convert one of their five shots into a goal. Marseille had more attempts, recording 13 shots in total, with 6 on target, and converted only one.
Amine Gouiri scored for Marseille in the 57th minute, while Matias Fernandez-Pardo equalized for Lille in the 74th minute. Both teams received two yellow cards, indicating a competitive, but not overly aggressive, match. Lille's goalkeeper made 5 saves, while Marseille's keeper didn't have to make any.
Lille's recent form has been strong, with four wins in their last five Ligue 1 matches. However, they lost to Lyon. Marseille's form has been inconsistent, with three wins and two losses in their previous five games. Both teams appear to be finding the net regularly, but Marseille's defense has been more vulnerable, conceding more goals.
Analyzing previous head-to-head games, draws have been a recurring theme between these two sides. In their upcoming match, Lille will face Brest, who have struggled recently with two losses, a draw and two wins in their last five. Marseille will play Le Havre AC, who have also been inconsistent.
Considering Lille's recent form and home advantage, they might have a slight edge in their upcoming match against Brest. Marseille will have to improve their defensive stability against Le Havre AC, to convert their chances into goals.
Historically, matches between Lille and Brest have been closely contested, with Lille having a slight advantage in recent encounters. Marseille's games against Le Havre AC have generally favored Marseille, but Le Havre's recent form at home could pose a challenge.

2025-05-03 | Pre-game insights

Football fans, mark your calendars! On May 4th, 2025, Lille will host Marseille at the Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy in what promises to be a thrilling French Ligue 1 encounter. An AI model has predicted a Lille victory, giving them a 49.5% win probability against Marseille's 25.8%, with a 24.7% chance of a draw. Lille, with a team rate of 0.718, enters the match in good form, having won four of their last five league games. Their attacking midfielder, Jonathan David, has been instrumental in their recent success, providing key passes and goals.
Marseille, rated at 0.669, will be looking to upset the odds, but their recent form has been inconsistent. Marseille's striker, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, is a constant threat and could be the key to unlocking Lille's defense. Recent head-to-head records show a tight contest between the two sides, with several draws in the mix. While the AI favors Lille, football is never predictable. Will Lille’s consistent form and home advantage lead them to victory, or can Marseille defy the prediction? We'll have to wait until match day to find out.