Football Result

Lucas Hernández 20' OG
Felix Lemarechal 45'+3'
Bradley Barcola 46'


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
25.8%
22.5%
51.7%
That's quite a surprise.
Power Comparison in the League
0.547
0.899
Game Stats
Goals
2
1
Shots on Target
2
4
Shots
9
20
Possession
36.3%
63.7%
Fouls
14
13
Yellow Cards
1
2
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
6
2
Offsides
4
3
Saves
3
1
Team Formations
3-4-2-1
3-4-3


Location
Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg, France
Attendance
19,522
Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
2025-05-04 | Game Summary

In a surprising turn of events in the French Ligue 1, Strasbourg defeated Paris Saint-Germain 2-1 at the Stade de la Meinau. The match, held on May 3, 2025, saw Strasbourg defy expectations, securing a victory against the favored Parisian side. The AI had predicted a Paris Saint-Germain win with a 51.7% probability, making Strasbourg's triumph a significant upset.
Strasbourg's goals came from an own goal by Lucas Hernández in the 20th minute and a goal by Felix Lemarechal in the 45'+3 minute. Paris Saint-Germain's sole goal was scored by Bradley Barcola in the 46th minute. Despite having only 36.3% possession and fewer shots (9 total, 2 on target) compared to PSG's 63.7% possession and 20 shots (4 on target), Strasbourg capitalized on their opportunities.
The game saw 14 fouls committed by Strasbourg and 13 by Paris Saint-Germain, with Strasbourg receiving one yellow card and PSG two. Strasbourg's goalkeeper made 3 saves, while PSG's made only 1.
Strasbourg's recent form has been positive, with a mix of wins and draws in their last five Ligue 1 matches, showing resilience and ability to secure points. This win will further boost their confidence. Their next game is away against Angers, a team struggling with recent losses, but the Coupe de France game from February this year is a warning sign.
Paris Saint-Germain, on the other hand, has had a mixed run, including a recent Champions League win against Arsenal, a loss to Nice in Ligue 1, and a draw against Nantes. Their upcoming Champions League match against Arsenal is crucial. PSG's recent form has been inconsistent, and this loss to Strasbourg adds pressure on them.
Looking back at previous head-to-head games, Paris Saint-Germain has generally dominated Strasbourg, but Strasbourg has proven capable of causing upsets, as seen in this match. Analyzing Strasbourg's previous games reveals a team capable of scoring goals and securing wins at home, while Paris Saint-Germain's recent performances show vulnerabilities, particularly in away games and against defensively solid teams.
The result is a stark contrast to the AI's pre-match prediction. The AI expected a balanced game, but clearly underestimated Strasbourg's ability to convert opportunities, especially considering their home advantage. The AI model's confidence in a PSG victory was misplaced, highlighting the unpredictable nature of football.
Strasbourg will aim to carry this momentum into their next game against Angers, while Paris Saint-Germain will need to regroup quickly for their crucial Champions League fixture against Arsenal. This victory is a significant morale boost for Strasbourg, proving they can compete with the league's top teams. The unexpected outcome underscores the importance of tactical execution and seizing opportunities in football.

2025-05-02 | Pre-game insights

On May 3rd, 2025, all eyes will be on the Stade de la Meinau as Strasbourg hosts Paris Saint-Germain in a highly anticipated French Ligue 1 clash. But this isn't just any game; an AI has predicted the outcome: a Paris Saint-Germain victory. The AI gives PSG a 51.7% chance of winning, significantly higher than Strasbourg's 25.8%. The draw probability stands at 22.5%.
While Strasbourg has shown recent signs of strength, including a 3-1 victory against Saint-Etienne, their overall team rate of 0.547 pales in comparison to PSG's dominant 0.899. PSG, despite a recent setback against Nice, boasts a squad brimming with world-class talent. Keep an eye on their prolific striker, whose goal-scoring prowess is unmatched in the league, and their midfield maestro, the engine of the team's creative play.
Historically, PSG has dominated Strasbourg in head-to-head encounters. However, Strasbourg will be looking to leverage their home advantage and recent form to defy the AI's prediction. Their recent victories and draws suggest a team with resilience, but overcoming PSG's star power will be a monumental challenge. Football fans around the world will be watching to see if the algorithm reigns supreme or if Strasbourg can pull off an upset. The AI has spoken, but the beautiful game is often full of surprises.