Football Result

Romain Del Castillo 15'


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
50.7%
25.4%
23.9%
We made the right call.
Power Comparison in the League
0.582
0.475
Game Stats
Goals
1
0
Shots on Target
5
1
Shots
16
6
Possession
63.6%
36.4%
Fouls
14
18
Yellow Cards
1
2
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
4
6
Offsides
0
3
Saves
1
4
Team Formations
4-3-3
5-4-1


Location
Stade Francis-le Ble, Brest, France
Attendance
13,121
Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
Recent Matches before the game
Brest
L L D W W
Montpellier
D L L L L
2025-05-05 | Game Summary

In a French Ligue 1 match held on May 4, 2025, Brest defeated Montpellier 1-0 at the Stade Francis-le Blé. Romain Del Castillo scored the decisive goal for Brest in the 15th minute. Brest dominated possession with 63.6% and registered 16 total shots compared to Montpellier's 6. However, Montpellier's goalkeeper made 4 saves, while Brest's only had one save to make. Brest committed 14 fouls and received 1 yellow card, while Montpellier committed 18 fouls and received 2 yellow cards.
The AI-powered pre-game prediction correctly foresaw a Brest win, with a 50.7% probability assigned to the home team. The AI model did not expect a balanced game. Brest's win probability was 50.7% before the game, compared to Montpellier's 23.9%. Brest played with a 4-3-3 formation, while Montpellier adopted a more defensive 5-4-1 setup.
Brest's recent form has been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 losses, and 1 draw in their last 5 games. Their next match is at home against Lille, a team in good form, having won 4 of their last 5 games. Considering Lille's recent dominance and their higher team rate (0.72 compared to Brest's 0.581 for that match), Brest will face a tough challenge. The head-to-head record also favors Lille.
Montpellier's form is poor, having lost 4 of their last 5 games and drawing the other. Their next game is at home against Paris Saint-Germain, which will be a difficult match considering PSG's strength, despite PSG having lost 3 of their last 5 matches in all competitions. Montpellier's team rate is also significantly lower than PSG's (0.475 vs 0.89).
Looking at the previous games, Brest's performance has been mixed, with some high-scoring wins and some heavy defeats. Montpellier has struggled defensively, conceding a significant number of goals in recent matches. In their last head-to-head match in November 2024, Montpellier defeated Brest 3-1. Prior to that, Brest had won 2 of the previous 3 meetings, demonstrating the unpredictable nature of their encounters. This win for Brest marks a positive turnaround after recent poor performances. The narrow victory suggests they managed to capitalize on early momentum and maintain a defensive shape to secure the points.

2025-05-03 | Pre-game insights

On May 4th, 2025, Brest will host Montpellier in a French Ligue 1 clash at the Stade Francis-le Blé. AI algorithms predict a Brest victory with a 50.7% probability, despite their recent inconsistent form. Montpellier, on the other hand, faces a daunting task with only a 23.9% chance of winning, according to the prediction. A draw is estimated at 25.4%. Brest will rely on their attacking midfielder, Romain Del Castillo, to create scoring opportunities. Montpellier's defense, led by veteran Mamadou Sakho, will need to be at their best to contain Brest's attack. Will Brest defy their recent struggles, or can Montpellier pull off an upset?