Football Result

Yann Gboho 28'
Aron Donnum 82'
Arnaud Kalimuendo 65'


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
39.9%
26.3%
33.8%
That went as expected.
Power Comparison in the League
[legacy approach]
0.531
0.55
Game Stats
Goals
2
1
Shots on Target
3
6
Shots
9
15
Possession
38%
62%
Fouls
7
15
Yellow Cards
2
2
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
6
5
Offsides
3
1
Saves
5
1
Team Formations
3-4-2-1
3-4-3


Location
Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse, France
Attendance
23,922
Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
Recent Matches before the game
Toulouse
D L L L L
Stade Rennais
L W W L W
2025-05-04 | Game Summary

In a French Ligue 1 match held on May 3, 2025, Toulouse secured a 2-1 victory over Stade Rennais at the Stadium de Toulouse. The match saw Toulouse, playing in a 3-4-2-1 formation, take the lead with a goal from Yann Gboho in the 28th minute. Stade Rennais, employing a 3-4-3 setup, equalized in the 65th minute through Arnaud Kalimuendo. However, Toulouse regained the lead in the 82nd minute with a goal from Aron Donnum, sealing the win.
Despite having only 38% possession compared to Stade Rennais' 62%, Toulouse managed to convert their chances more effectively. They had 9 total shots with 3 on target, while Stade Rennais had 15 shots with 6 on target, indicating Toulouse's more clinical finishing. The AI-powered pre-game prediction correctly forecasted a Toulouse win, aligning with the final result. The AI model did not expect a balanced game, which was reflected in the contrasting possession statistics.
Toulouse's recent form has been inconsistent, with several losses and a draw in their previous matches, however, this win could provide a morale boost. Stade Rennais, too, have experienced mixed results, with a recent heavy defeat against Lyon. Toulouse's next game is at home against Lens, while Stade Rennais will host Nice.
Analyzing past encounters, Toulouse has had some success against Stade Rennais at home. The upcoming match against Lens will be a test, considering Lens's own inconsistent form. Similarly, Stade Rennais will need to improve their consistency as they face a strong Nice side in their next fixture. This victory for Toulouse breaks a losing streak in the league and gives them momentum heading into their next home game. The win is also significant considering their last five head-to-head games at home against Stade Rennais have seen Toulouse win three, draw one and lose one, indicating a historical home advantage.

2025-05-02 | Pre-game insights

On May 3rd, 2025, Toulouse will face Stade Rennais at the Stadium de Toulouse in a highly anticipated French Ligue 1 match. Despite Stade Rennais having a slightly higher team rate (0.55) than Toulouse (0.531), AI is predicting a Toulouse victory with a 39.9% probability, edging out Stade Rennais' 33.8% chance. A draw is considered less likely, at 26.3%. Toulouse will be counting on striker Guillaume Restes to lead their attack. Stade Rennais, however, will rely on Enzo Le Fée's midfield prowess to control the game's tempo. Toulouse's recent form has been poor, with multiple losses and red cards, while Stade Rennais has been more inconsistent. The AI's prediction goes against the team recent performance, so it is expected to be a thrilling match with Toulouse fighting hard for a win on their home turf.