Football Result

Ado Onaiwu 33', 44'
Gaetan Perrin 40'
Ki-Jana Hoever 73'
Florian Sotoca 85'


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
50.9%
25.5%
23.6%
That's quite a surprise.
Power Comparison in the League
[legacy approach]
0.555
0.464
Game Stats
Goals
0
4
Shots on Target
5
8
Shots
16
12
Possession
65.6%
34.4%
Fouls
12
13
Yellow Cards
4
4
Red Cards
1
0
Corners
8
1
Offsides
1
0
Saves
4
5
Team Formations
3-4-2-1
5-4-1


Location
Stade Felix Bollaert-Delelis, Lens, France
Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
Recent Matches before the game
Lens
W L W L W
AJ Auxerre
L L W W D
2025-04-28 | Game Summary

In a stunning upset in the French Ligue 1, AJ Auxerre demolished Lens 4-0 at the Stade Félix Bollaert-Delélis on April 27, 2025. The AI had predicted a Lens victory, with a 50.9% win probability for the home side compared to Auxerre's 23.6%. The AI model did not expect a balanced game. However, Auxerre, playing a 5-4-1 formation, completely outmaneuvered Lens, who lined up in a 3-4-2-1.
Ado Onaiwu's brace (33', 44') set the tone, with Gaetan Perrin adding another goal in the 40th minute to give Auxerre a commanding 3-0 lead before halftime. Ki-Jana Hoever sealed the victory with a goal in the 73rd minute. Despite Lens dominating possession with 65.6%, they struggled to convert their 16 total shots, with only 5 on target, while Auxerre capitalized on their opportunities, converting 8 of their 12 shots on target.
Lens' frustration culminated in a late red card for Florian Sotoca in the 85th minute. Both teams committed a similar number of fouls (12 for Lens, 13 for Auxerre) and received an equal number of yellow cards (4 each). This victory marks a significant turnaround for Auxerre, who had lost their previous two league games.
Lens, on the other hand, suffered a heavy blow after a mixed run of form, including a recent 3-1 win against Brest. This result is especially concerning considering Lens' upcoming match against Lyon, a team in strong form with a 4-1 victory over Stade Rennais in their most recent match. Lyon's home advantage and recent results, including two losses in Europa League against Manchester United, present a formidable challenge for Lens.
AJ Auxerre will face Le Havre AC in their next game. Considering Le Havre's recent form with two losses and a draw, AJ Auxerre will have the opportunity to continue their success. Looking back at previous head-to-head matches, Lens had a slight advantage, but Auxerre's dominant performance indicates a shift in their relative strengths. Auxerre's previous games show inconsistency, with wins interspersed with losses, while Lens had been relatively stable before this unexpected defeat.

2025-04-26 | Pre-game insights

On April 27, 2025, Lens will face AJ Auxerre at the Stade Félix Bollaert-Delélis in a highly anticipated French Ligue 1 clash. AI is predicting a victory for Lens, with a 50.9% win probability compared to Auxerre's 23.6%. The draw probability stands at 25.5%. Lens, spearheaded by their star forward, will look to dominate the midfield and capitalize on their home advantage. While Auxerre's recent form has been inconsistent, their young winger possesses the pace and skill to trouble any defense. However, considering the teams' rates (0.555 for Lens and 0.464 for AJ Auxerre) and the recent head-to-head games where Lens shows superiority, an AI predicts home win.