Football Result

Verification of the Result Prediction

Power Comparison in the League

Team Formations

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance

Recent Matches before the game

H2H Record before the game

Jong AZ defeated Excelsior 2-1 in a Dutch Keuken Kampioen Divisie match held at the AFAS Trainingscomplex. Sanches Fernandes put Excelsior ahead in the 24th minute, but Rio Robbemond equalized for Jong AZ in the 34th minute. Sem van Duijn then secured the victory for the home side with a late goal in the 88th minute. Despite having fewer shots (8 vs. 14) and lower possession (52.9% vs 47.1%), Jong AZ capitalized on their opportunities, converting 4 of their shots on target. Excelsior, despite dominating in shots on target (7), couldn't find the net for a second time.
The AI-powered prediction favored an Excelsior win, which ultimately proved incorrect, highlighting the unpredictability of football. The AI model did not anticipate a balanced game. Prior to this match, Jong AZ had shown decent form, winning 3 of their last 5 games. Excelsior, on the other hand, had been on an impressive winning streak, securing victories in their previous 5 matches before this encounter, showing the defeat came unexpectedly.
Looking back at their previous encounters, Excelsior had the upper hand in head-to-head records. However, Jong AZ managed to secure a win at home in their last meeting on May 7, 2021. This game demonstrated Jong AZ's resilience and ability to perform well at home, as well as Excelsior's vulnerability in breaking down determined defenses. The difference between team rates was notable with Jong AZ at 0.382 and Excelsior at 0.583, yet the lower-rated team prevailed. The predicted win probabilities were 31.1% for Jong AZ, 42.6% for Excelsior, and 26.3% for a draw. While Excelsior had more fouls (16) compared to Jong AZ (9), both teams received two yellow cards each.

On May 9, 2025, Jong AZ will face Excelsior at the AFAS Trainingscomplex in a Dutch Keuken Kampioen Divisie match. According to AI, Excelsior are the favorites to win with a 42.6% win probability, compared to Jong AZ's 31.1%. The AI prediction favors an Excelsior victory, aligning with their stronger team rating of 0.583 against Jong AZ's 0.382. Excelsior's recent form has been impressive, with a string of victories. The team relies on forward Couhaib Driouech to create danger in attack and pacey midfielder Julian Baas to command the midfield. Jong AZ, however, will be hoping to cause an upset on home soil.