Football Result

Verification of the Result Prediction

Power Comparison in the League

Team Formations

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance

Recent Matches before the game

H2H Record before the game

In a stunning upset in the Dutch Eredivisie, NEC Nijmegen defeated Ajax Amsterdam 3-0 at the Johan Cruijff Arena. The match, held on May 11, 2025, saw NEC defy pre-game predictions that heavily favored Ajax. The AI model predicted a 64.3% chance of an Ajax win, but NEC completely overturned expectations.
Despite Ajax dominating possession with 65% and unleashing 22 shots compared to NEC's 9, they struggled to convert their chances, managing only 4 shots on target. NEC, in contrast, were clinical, scoring three goals from their six shots on target. Sontje Hansen opened the scoring in the 59th minute, followed by Brayann Pereira in the 67th and Sami Ouaissa in the 82nd, sealing a memorable victory for the visitors.
This result is a significant blow for Ajax, given their recent inconsistent form, including a draw against Sparta Rotterdam and a heavy defeat to FC Utrecht. Their upcoming match against FC Groningen, who have shown strong form at home recently, will be crucial for them to regain confidence. Considering last head-to-head games, where Ajax has dominated against FC Groningen, Ajax will need to improve significantly from this performance.
NEC Nijmegen, on the other hand, will be buoyed by this win. Their next game against NAC Breda presents an opportunity to build on this momentum. The recent performances of NAC Breda have been poor, which could be another advantage for NEC Nijmegen. NEC Nijmegen's previous games have been inconsistent, with a mix of draws, wins, and losses. Their performance against Ajax was a significant improvement, showcasing their potential to upset stronger teams. The team will be hoping that they can perform against NAC Breda as they did against Ajax Amsterdam.
Both teams committed 12 fouls each, with NEC receiving four yellow cards and Ajax three. The game highlights the unpredictable nature of football and serves as a reminder that statistics and pre-game predictions are not always indicative of the final outcome. The AI-powered prediction was clearly off the mark in this instance, underlining the importance of considering factors beyond pure statistical analysis.

On May 11, 2025, all eyes will be on the Johan Cruijff Arena as Ajax Amsterdam faces NEC Nijmegen in a Dutch Eredivisie clash. AI is predicting a victory for the home side, with a 64.3% probability, based on their higher team rate of 0.828 compared to NEC's 0.563. While Ajax's recent form has been mixed – with two wins, a loss and two draws in their last five league games – their historical dominance in head-to-head encounters gives them the edge.
NEC Nijmegen, on the other hand, faces an uphill battle with only a 14.2% chance of winning, although a draw is not out of the question with a 21.5% probability. The team has had two draws, two losses and one win in their last five matches.
Ajax's hopes will largely rest on the shoulders of young starlet, midfielder Dani Hato, whose vision and passing range can unlock any defense, and veteran forward, Brian Brobbey, whose finishing ability remains lethal. Both players are key to Ajax dictating the tempo and converting chances. The AI prediction suggests that the Amsterdam giants are poised to deliver a strong performance in front of their home crowd. However, football is unpredictable, and NEC Nijmegen will undoubtedly fight hard to defy the odds. Football fans can expect an exciting and captivating match.