Football Result

Emilio Kehrer 41'
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen 74'
Wout Weghorst 78'


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
20.1%
23.3%
56.6%
We made the right call.
Power Comparison in the League
0.423
0.845
Game Stats
Goals
1
2
Shots on Target
1
6
Shots
6
29
Possession
32.5%
67.5%
Fouls
8
4
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
1
11
Offsides
3
0
Saves
4
0
Team Formations
4-3-3
4-3-3


Location
Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg, Netherlands
Attendance
14,000
2025-04-14 | Game Summary

In a Dutch Eredivisie match held on April 13, 2025, Ajax Amsterdam defeated Willem II with a score of 2-1 at the Koning Willem II Stadion in Tilburg. Willem II, playing at home, started with a 4-3-3 formation, as did Ajax Amsterdam. The match saw Willem II take the lead with a goal from Emilio Kehrer in the 41st minute. However, Ajax Amsterdam responded in the second half with goals from Oliver Valaker Edvardsen in the 74th minute and Wout Weghorst in the 78th minute, securing the victory.
Ajax dominated possession with 67.5% compared to Willem II's 32.5%. Ajax also had a significant advantage in shots, recording 29 total shots with 6 on target, while Willem II managed only 6 shots in total, with just 1 hitting the target. The home side committed 8 fouls and received one yellow card, while Ajax committed only 4 fouls and received no yellow cards. The goalkeepers' workload reflected the game's flow, with Willem II's keeper making 4 saves and Ajax's keeper not being forced into any saves.
The AI-powered pre-game prediction favored Ajax Amsterdam to win, with a 56.6% win probability. The actual result aligned with this prediction, confirming the AI model's accuracy. The model did not anticipate a balanced game, given the team rates of 0.423 for Willem II and 0.845 for Ajax Amsterdam.
Willem II has been struggling, having lost their last five games prior to this match, highlighting their poor form. Their next game is against Fortuna Sittard, who have also struggled recently, losing three of their last five games. The head-to-head record between Willem II and Fortuna Sittard is closely contested, suggesting a potentially tight encounter. Ajax, on the other hand, are in good form, winning four of their last five Dutch Eredivisie matches, with one draw in the mix as well.
Ajax Amsterdam's upcoming fixture is against FC Utrecht, who have shown mixed form, winning three and drawing one of their last five matches. Ajax will be looking to continue their winning streak, while FC Utrecht will aim to leverage their home advantage. In their last five head-to-head matches, Ajax has won 2 times and FC Utrecht won 2 times, with one draw in the mix as well.
Analyzing the previous matches, Willem II's defense has been vulnerable, conceding multiple goals in most of their recent games. Ajax, while generally solid, had a setback in the UEFA Europa League, conceding four goals against Eintracht Frankfurt. The game between Willem II and Ajax Amsterdam followed the pattern of previous encounters, with Ajax dominating possession and creating more chances, ultimately securing the win, as they had done in their last head-to-head match in the Dutch Eredivisie.

2025-04-12 | Pre-game insights

On April 13th, 2025, Willem II will face Ajax Amsterdam at the Koning Willem II Stadion in Tilburg, for a match in the Dutch Eredivisie. The AI predicts an Ajax Amsterdam victory, a prediction backed by their significantly higher team rate of 0.845 compared to Willem II's 0.423. The AI gives Ajax a 56.6% chance of winning, while Willem II's chances are only 20.1%, with a 23.3% chance of a draw.
Willem II is coming off a string of losses, their last five matches all ending in defeat. Meanwhile, Ajax has been in better form, winning three of their last five, including a recent 3-1 victory against NAC Breda. Their star players, like the prolific striker Brian Brobbey, will be crucial to their attack. The young midfielder, Kenneth Taylor, is also expected to control the tempo of the game.
Historically, Ajax has dominated Willem II, winning most of their head-to-head encounters, including a 1-0 victory in their last match in October 2024. Considering the teams' current form and quality, the AI's prediction seems reasonable. Will the home advantage and a desperate need for points be enough for Willem II to upset the odds, or will Ajax cruise to a predicted victory? Only time will tell.

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance