Football Result

Verification of the Result Prediction

Power Comparison in the League

Team Formations

Estimated Goal Scoring Chance

Recent Matches before the game

H2H Record before the game

In a surprising turn of events in the Spanish LALIGA, Osasuna defeated Atlético Madrid 2-0 at El Sadar. The game took place on May 15, 2025. Alejandro Catena opened the scoring for Osasuna in the 25th minute, followed by Ante Budimir sealing the victory in the 82nd minute. Despite Atlético Madrid dominating possession with 65.1% compared to Osasuna's 34.9%, they failed to convert their control into goals. Both teams committed a similar number of fouls, with Osasuna at 12 and Atlético Madrid at 11, and each received one yellow card.
Atlético Madrid had more shots on target (5) than Osasuna (3), but Osasuna's goalkeeper proved difficult to beat, making 5 saves compared to Atlético's 1. Osasuna's formation was a 4-2-3-1, while Atlético Madrid played with a 4-4-2 setup. The AI's pre-game prediction favored an Atlético Madrid win, making this result a significant upset. The AI model didn't expect a balanced game. The pre-game win probability for Osasuna was 34.0%, and for Atlético Madrid, it was 39.8%, with a 26.2% chance of a draw.
This victory highlights Osasuna's strong home form, building on their recent success at El Sadar. In their last five games, Osasuna has won three, drawn one, and lost one. Atlético Madrid's form has been more inconsistent, with three wins, one loss, and one draw in their last five matches. Looking ahead, Osasuna will play against Espanyol at home. Espanyol has struggled recently, losing three of their last five matches.
Atlético Madrid will host Real Betis in their next game, a team that has also shown mixed form with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five games. Osasuna's recent performances show a capability to capitalize on opportunities, which could be crucial in their upcoming match against Espanyol. Atlético Madrid will need to improve their finishing and break down tough defenses if they want to win against Real Betis. This result breaks the recent head-to-head record, as Atlético Madrid won the most recent game between the two sides, 1-0, back in January.
Considering Osasuna's recent home form and Atlético Madrid's inconsistency, Osasuna managed to defy expectations, demonstrating their resilience and tactical efficiency.

On May 15, 2025, Osasuna will face Atlético Madrid at El Sadar in Pamplona, Spain, in a highly anticipated Spanish LALIGA clash. An AI prediction model suggests that Atlético Madrid is the likely victor. While Osasuna holds a home advantage, the AI gives them a 34.0% chance of winning, contrasting with Atlético Madrid's 39.8% win probability, while the draw probability is 26.2%.
Osasuna's recent form has been mixed, with two wins, two losses and a draw in their last five matches. Atlético Madrid, on the other hand, has been stronger, securing three wins, one loss and one draw in their recent games. Their star striker, Antoine Griezmann, will be one to watch, known for his clinical finishing and tactical intelligence and Koke, the experienced midfielder, will control the tempo of the game.
Historically, Atlético Madrid has had the upper hand in head-to-head encounters. The AI model heavily considers these factors, giving Atlético Madrid a slight edge in this upcoming match, although Osasuna will surely fight to defy the prediction.