Football Result

2025-05-14
Joan Jordán 79' Pen


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
40.7%
27.1%
32.2%
That went as expected.
Power Comparison in the League
0.546
0.605
Game Stats
Goals
1
0
Shots on Target
5
3
Shots
11
10
Possession
41.8%
58.2%
Fouls
16
10
Yellow Cards
4
3
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
9
4
Offsides
2
2
Saves
3
5
Team Formations
4-1-4-1
4-4-2


Location
Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz, Spain
Attendance
17,626
Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
Recent Matches before the game
Alaves
L D W D L
Valencia
W W D D W
2025-05-15 | Game Summary

In a tightly contested Spanish LALIGA match at Mendizorroza, Alavés secured a 1-0 victory over Valencia. The only goal of the game came from a Joan Jordán penalty in the 79th minute. While Valencia dominated possession with 58.2%, they struggled to convert that advantage into goals, managing only 3 shots on target compared to Alavés' 5. Alavés, playing a 4-1-4-1 formation, were more direct, while Valencia utilized a 4-4-2. The match saw a total of 7 yellow cards, 4 for Alavés and 3 for Valencia, indicating a physical encounter.
The AI-powered pre-game prediction correctly foresaw an Alavés win, aligning with the actual result. The AI model didn't anticipate a balanced game, and the statistics reflect a match where Alavés maximized their opportunities despite having less possession.
Alavés' recent form has been inconsistent, with a loss, two draws, and a win in their last five matches, alongside today's win. Their upcoming match against Real Valladolid, who have lost their last five games, presents a good opportunity for Alavés to build momentum. Historically, Alavés has a slightly better record in recent head-to-head games against Real Valladolid.
Valencia, on the other hand, had been in decent form before this loss, with three wins and two draws in their previous five games. Their next game is against Athletic Club, who are also a strong team. In their last five matches, Athletic Club won twice, drew twice and lost one match. The head-to-head record between Valencia and Athletic Club shows a mixed bag of results.
Comparing this game to previous matches, Alavés has struggled with consistency in scoring, often relying on tight defensive performances, while Valencia's recent games have seen them score more freely. Alavés' victory can be attributed to their ability to capitalize on a penalty opportunity and maintain a solid defensive structure.
Considering the teams' form, Alavés will aim to capitalize on Real Valladolid's struggles, while Valencia will be looking to bounce back against a tough Athletic Club side. This victory is a crucial one for Alavés, who need to improve their consistency if they want to climb up the LALIGA table.

2025-05-13 | Pre-game insights

On May 14, 2025, Alavés will face Valencia at Mendizorroza in a LALIGA clash. An AI model predicts an Alavés victory, despite Valencia having a slightly stronger team rate (0.605 vs 0.546). Alavés’ win probability stands at 40.7%, compared to Valencia's 32.2%, with a 27.1% chance of a draw. Alavés recent form has been inconsistent with two draws and two defeats in their last five matches, while Valencia secured three victories in the same period. However, Alavés has a slight advantage in the last head-to-head games. Keep an eye on Alavés' striker, Carlos Benavidez, who is vital for their attack. Valencia relies heavily on the midfield prowess of young Spanish talent, Pablo Soler, to dictate the game's tempo. While statistics suggest a close encounter, the AI leans towards a home win for Alavés.