Football Result

2025-05-11
Manu Sánchez 71' OG


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
53.2%
25%
21.7%
We made the right call.
Power Comparison in the League
0.637
0.55
Game Stats
Goals
1
0
Shots on Target
3
1
Shots
11
3
Possession
59.8%
40.2%
Fouls
17
12
Yellow Cards
1
1
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
9
2
Offsides
0
2
Saves
1
3
Team Formations
4-2-3-1
4-1-4-1


Location
San Mames, Bilbao, Spain
Attendance
47,947
Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
Recent Matches before the game
Athletic Club
L D L W L
Alaves
D W D L W
2025-05-12 | Game Summary

In a Spanish LALIGA match held on May 11, 2025, Athletic Club defeated Alavés 1-0 at San Mamés in Bilbao. The lone goal came in the 71st minute courtesy of an own goal by Alavés' Manu Sánchez. Athletic Club dominated possession with 59.8% compared to Alavés' 40.2%. However, Athletic Club only managed 3 shots on target from their 11 total shots, while Alavés struggled to create chances, registering only 3 shots in total with 1 being on target. Athletic Club committed more fouls (17) than Alavés (12), and both teams received one yellow card each.
The AI-powered pre-game prediction correctly forecasted an Athletic Club victory. The pre-game win probability for Athletic Club was 53.2%, while Alavés had a 21.7% chance of winning, and a draw was predicted with a 25.0% probability. The AI model didn't expect a balanced game, which aligns with Athletic Club being rated 0.637 and Alavés rated 0.55.
Athletic Club's recent form has been inconsistent, with losses in the UEFA Europa League against Manchester United mixed with a draw against Real Sociedad and a win against Las Palmas in LALIGA. Their upcoming match is against Getafe, who have been struggling with multiple consecutive losses. Considering past head-to-head games, Athletic Club often faces Getafe in tight matches.
Alavés, on the other hand, has had a slightly better run recently, with a win against Real Sociedad and draws against Atlético Madrid and Sevilla. Their next game is at home against Valencia, who are currently on a winning streak. Historically, matches between Alavés and Valencia have been closely contested.
Looking back at previous encounters between Athletic Club and Alavés, Athletic Club has had the upper hand, winning most of the recent matches, especially at home. Analyzing the game itself, Athletic Club's dominance in possession did not translate into a high number of clear scoring opportunities. The own goal proved to be the decisive moment in a match where both teams struggled to find the back of the net. Athletic Club will look to improve their finishing in their upcoming games, while Alavés will need to sharpen their attack to secure points. The Athletic Club win snaps a short run of poor form in the league.

2025-05-10 | Pre-game insights

On May 11, 2025, Athletic Club is set to face Alavés at San Mamés in Bilbao, Spain, for a LALIGA match. AI predicts a victory for the home side, with a 53.2% probability compared to Alavés's 21.7%. The draw probability sits at 25.0%. Athletic Club, however, are coming off a tough defeat against Manchester United in the Europa League. Despite recent struggles in Europe, the team will rely on the creativity of their veteran midfielder, Iker Muniain, and the explosive runs of young striker, Nico Williams. Alavés, on the other hand, have been inconsistent, alternating between draws and narrow victories in recent games, so they will struggle in San Mamés. Athletic Club's recent head-to-head record against Alavés further reinforces the AI's prediction, with Athletic dominating the past encounters.