Football Result
Nicolas Samayoa 53'
Heinz Mörschel 36'
Verification of the Result Prediction
Power Comparison in the League
[legacy approach]
Game Stats
Team Formations
Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
H2H Record before the game
Guatemala
Draws
Dominican Republic
In a thrilling FIFA World Cup Qualifying - Concacaf match held on June 6, 2025, Guatemala triumphed over the Dominican Republic with a score of 4-2 at the Estadio Cementos Progreso in Guatemala City. The game saw an exciting exchange of goals, with Oscar Santis netting a hat-trick (6', 59', 62') for Guatemala, and Nicolas Samayoa adding another in the 53rd minute. For the Dominican Republic, Dorny Romero (16') and Heinz Mörschel (36') found the net.
Despite Guatemala having slightly more possession (51.7% vs. 48.3%), the Dominican Republic unleashed more shots, recording 19 attempts compared to Guatemala's 12. However, Guatemala were more clinical, getting 6 shots on target compared to the Dominican Republic's 8, while the home side's goalkeeper registered 6 saves, double the amount from the away team's goalkeeper. Both teams committed a similar number of fouls and received two yellow cards each.
The AI-powered pre-game prediction favored a Dominican Republic win, which ultimately proved incorrect. The AI model had predicted a balanced game, a prediction that aligned with the final result to an extent as the game was closely contested. The predicted win probabilities were 36.5% for Guatemala, 37.0% for the Dominican Republic, and 26.5% for a draw, highlighting the perceived closeness of the match.
Guatemala, employing a 4-2-3-1 formation, showed resilience after conceding two goals in the first half, while the Dominican Republic, playing with a 4-4-2, couldn't maintain their lead. This victory breaks a run of draws and losses against the Dominican Republic, with Guatemala's last win against them coming in June 2022.
Looking ahead, Guatemala faces a challenging away game against Jamaica on June 10th. Guatemala's recent form has been mixed, with wins against Honduras and Guyana, a draw against El Salvador, and losses against Guyana and Costa Rica. Their recent head-to-head record against Jamaica shows a struggle to secure victories. In contrast, the Dominican Republic will host Dominica on the same day. The Dominican Republic's recent form is strong, including dominant wins in the Concacaf Nations League. Their recent head-to-head record against Dominica also favors them heavily.
Football fans are eagerly awaiting the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - Concacaf match on June 6, 2025, between Guatemala and the Dominican Republic at Estadio Cementos Progreso. AI is predicting a slight upset, favoring the Dominican Republic for the win. While Guatemala's team rate is marginally higher at 0.564 compared to Dominican Republic's 0.534, the AI gives the Dominican Republic a 37.0% chance of winning, slightly edging out Guatemala's 36.5%. A draw is still a considerable possibility at 26.5%. The Dominican Republic will be counting on their forward Dorny Romero who plays in FK Khimki. However, Guatemala, fresh off a mixed bag of results, will be determined to prove the AI wrong on their home turf.