Football Result

William Troost-Ekong 25' OG
Calvin Bassey 44'


Verification of the Result Prediction
Win
Draw
Win
55.1%
23.8%
21.1%
That's quite a surprise.
Power Comparison in the League
0.586
0.547
Game Stats
Goals
1
1
Shots on Target
1
1
Shots
5
4
Possession
53.8%
46.2%
Fouls
11
19
Yellow Cards
3
2
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
2
3
Offsides
4
0
Saves
0
1
Team Formations
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1


Location
Free State Toyota Stadium, Bloemfontein, South Africa
Estimated Goal Scoring Chance
Recent Matches before the game
South Africa
W D D W D
Nigeria
W W L L D
2025-09-10 | Game Summary

On September 9, 2025, South Africa and Nigeria clashed in a FIFA World Cup Qualifying - CAF match at the Free State Toyota Stadium in Bloemfontein, ending in a 1-1 draw. The game saw goals from William Troost-Ekong (own goal) for South Africa and Calvin Bassey for Nigeria, both in the first half. South Africa maintained slightly more possession (53.8%) and had a marginal edge in total shots (5 vs. 4), although both teams only managed one shot on target. Fouls were abundant, with Nigeria committing 19 compared to South Africa's 11. The AI predicted a South Africa win (55.1% probability) before the game, making the actual result an upset. The AI model also considered the game to be unbalanced.
Looking at the teams' recent form, South Africa had been fairly consistent with two wins and three draws in their last five matches prior to this game, showing a solid defense and capacity to score. Nigeria, prior to this match, had a mixed run with three wins, one loss, and one draw in their last five matches. Their attacking prowess was evident, but defensive vulnerabilities were also apparent.
Historically, matches between these two nations have often been close affairs. Analyzing their head-to-head record, many of their recent encounters ended in draws, mirroring the outcome of this game. This suggests a certain parity and tactical understanding between the two sides.
South Africa's previous game was a 3-0 victory against Lesotho while Nigeria had won 1-0 against Rwanda. Both teams deployed a 4-2-3-1 formation for this match, reflecting a balanced approach. The number of yellow cards accumulated (3 for South Africa, 2 for Nigeria) indicate a physical encounter, especially given the number of fouls committed by Nigeria.
Considering their recent performances, the draw reflects a competitive matchup where both teams struggled to convert their chances effectively. The AI's prediction of a South Africa win proved inaccurate, highlighting the unpredictable nature of football, particularly in World Cup Qualifying matches in the CAF region. This result might influence both teams' strategies and preparations for their upcoming matches, especially considering the tight competition in their qualifying group.

2025-09-08 | Pre-game insights

On September 9th, 2025, South Africa will face Nigeria in a FIFA World Cup Qualifying - CAF match at Free State Toyota Stadium. AI predicts a win for South Africa with a 55.1% probability, against Nigeria's 21.1%. The home team, rated at 0.586, shows slightly better form than Nigeria's 0.547. South Africa's recent 3-0 victory against Lesotho boosts their confidence. Their star striker, Lyle Foster, will be key to their attack. Meanwhile, Nigeria will rely on Victor Osimhen's scoring ability, despite their inconsistent recent results. The draw probability stands at 23.8%.