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On September 4th, 2025, Colombia faces Bolivia in a FIFA World Cup Qualifying - CONMEBOL match at the Metropolitano Roberto Melendez. AI predicts a Colombia win with a 61.0% probability, dwarfing Bolivia's 17.0%. A draw is considered at 21.9%.
Colombia, rated 0.752, hopes to leverage its home advantage. Their recent form, however, has been inconsistent with several draws and losses. All eyes will be on Luis Diaz, whose pace and dribbling are crucial for unlocking defenses. James Rodriguez's playmaking abilities will also be key to Colombia's attack.
Bolivia, rated much lower at 0.312, enters as the underdog. Their recent games show a struggle for consistency, winning against Chile but losing against Venezuela. Historically, they've had difficulty securing points away from home.
The last head-to-head saw Bolivia win 1-0 back in 2024, but Colombia won the two previous games 3-0. It should be noted that Bolivia red cards occur often: In their last match, a red card was given to one of the Bolivian players. This match promises to be a tight affair, with Colombia expected to dominate possession and search for a breakthrough. Bolivia will likely focus on defensive organization and try to hit on the counter.